Certified Broadcast Meteorologist and AMS Fellow. WX GEEK at TWC for 35+ years. Always awaiting mother natures latest temper tantrum. The journey is the reward.
Setting up for afternoon and overnight SEVERE threat today in NE,KS and MO. ALL SEVERE HAZARDS in play. 06z HRRR output valid 2am Wednesday below along with latest SPC probabilities.
Guidance brings a trough into the west late week and moves it across the USA into this weekend. Rain/SEVERE tstorm chances increase w/it as expected. Summertime HEAT dominates most all southern states with rain chances increasing southeast once the tough/front arrives late week.
Cold front finally makes it to the northeast today with active SEVERE storms. Will have to watch east/west boundary set up for HEAVY RAIN over the OH Valley midweek.
Nice look at the MCV (mesoscale convective vortex) feature that will aid in today's SEVERE storm over NE,IA,MN, and SD. This feature came out of the TX storms last night.
A look a the 70F isodrosotherm this morning. Td's (temperature dewpoints) greater than 75 in southwest IA! Welcome to summer Chicago....at least for a few days.
Yesterday's leftovers become today's storm trigger... Leftover spin moving into KS now becomes this afternoons catalyst for SEVERE storms as it rides up in to humid air and firest storms in NE,IA,SD,and MN. All hazards in play.